Market Insight June 12, 2023

Our weekly market insight provides timely and accurate information on the financial landscape. We deliver tailored insights on different aspects of the market, economic indicators, and our investment strategy.

New Deal Brings Harsh Reality

What is it?

A deal was made to raise the debt ceiling. The United States Government will not default on its debt. However, that may put pressure on companies and individuals to stay out of debt. 

Why does it matter?

The details of that deal brings back student loans in August.* That may hurt the consumer’s budget. This could lead people to take on more debt. Adding back student loans alone may lower the amount that people with student loans can contribute to their investments. While that may be rough, there are ways the government can make it less of a burden on people. 

Student Loan Pressure

What is it?

With Student loans allegedly coming back, pressure is mounting on the economy to perform. Lately, the markets have been optimistic, but the Fed could raise interest rates more this week. Despite that, the stock market has continued to move slightly higher in recent weeks. 

Why does it matter?

“Consumer spending is directly linked to personal finance. Economists agree that when consumers have less expendable income due to debt obligations, they decrease spending. Student debt is the 2nd largest type of household credit (after mortgages).”**

With Student loans coming back, that could negatively affect the economy. There are positive effects that come from new businesses starting and first-time home buyers which may be hard to find in a few months. While markets are performing well, they still have a lot to overcome if they are to maintain this price level or move higher. 

Other articles we found interesting this week:

Why the Fed’s rate decision will likely be a last-minute call

Goldman pushes back against bearish Morgan Stanley

Big week for markets gets underway in a calm fashion

Current 401(k) portfolio

Our last 401(k) portfolio reallocation: 5/19/2022. 

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The weekly market insight provides a window into the process we use in our investment management process. At Breakaway, we believe markets are always changing and require a nimble yet data-oriented approach. 

Our process attempts to identify trends and momentum in the financial markets. With that information, we align our clients’ portfolio accordingly in the hope to help our clients accomplish their life goals while attempting to lower the risk of a large drop in their portfolio.

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Sources:

*Kamaron McNair. “What the debt ceiling deal means for student loan borrowers”. 6/1/2023. CNBC. https://www.cnbc.com/2023/06/01/student-loan-payment-pause-will-end-as-part-of-the-debt-ceiling-deal.html

**Melanie Hanson. ”Economic Effects of Student Loan Debt”. 1/1/2023. Education Data Initiative. https://educationdata.org/student-loan-debt-economic-impact

IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES: 

Educational use Only. The market update published by Breakaway Financial Group LLC (“Breakaway”) is intended to be educational in nature and is not intended to be a recommendation for any specific investment product, strategy, plan feature or other purposes. Accordingly, it should not be construed by any consumer and/or prospective client as solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation. 

Advertising and Marketing. Communications such as this are not impartial and are provided in connection with advertising and marketing. This material is not suggesting a specific course of action or any action at all. Prior to making any investment or financial decisions, an investor should seek individualized advice from a personal financial, insurance, legal or tax professional that takes into account all of the particular facts and circumstances of an investor’s own situation. No person associated with Breakaway is a licensed attorney or tax professional and the information contained herein should not be considered tax or legal advice. 

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Craig Stahlecker

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IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES:
The information provided is intended to be educational in nature and is not intended to be a recommendation for any specific business or tax strategy, plan feature or other purposes. Accordingly, it should not be construed by any consumer and/or prospective client as solicitation of services.

Communications such as this are not impartial and are provided in connection with advertising and marketing. This material is not suggesting a specific course of action or any action at all. Prior to making any business or tax planning decisions, an individual should seek individualized advice from a personal financial, tax, legal, or business consultant professional that takes into account all of the particular facts and circumstances of an individual’s own situation. No person associated with Breakaway Financial Group LLC is a licensed attorney, and the information contained herein should not be considered legal advice.