Market Insight December 26, 2022

Here is the Market Insight for the week of December 26, 2022:

Markets Struggled into the Long Weekend

What is it? 

Markets had a brief rally Wednesday before those gains were taken back from trading on Thursday. 

“The S&P 500 (^GSPC) closed down 1.4% after dropping as much as 2.8% in afternoon trading, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) shed 350 points, or 1%. The technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) tumbled 2.2%.”*

Markets struggled to find a clear direction Friday as trading volume decreased into the weekend. 

Why does it matter?

The news matters more when it has an impact on stock prices. Sometimes the stock performance determines the narratives and not the other way around. 

“Losses picked up after veteran hedge fund manager David Tepper said in a televised interview with CNBC that he is “leaning short on the equity markets” over concerns rising interest rates will further batter stocks.”* 

This was not only seen in the benchmarks above but in some of the actively traded companies such as Tesla. 

“Tesla’s stock (TSLA) cratered 8.9%, deepening steep declines for the electric vehicle giant, which is now down more than 68% this year. Selling pressures have intensified for Tesla this month, with investors concerned that CEO Elon Musk’s management of Twitter was distracting him from leadership responsibilities at the electric carmaker.”*

With a pessimistic view from investors, we will see if things start to change in the new year or if we end up seeing more of the same. As the markets evolve we will make changes to portfolios. Currently, stocks are suffering while some other investments have shown signs of positive momentum. 

Traders Scrutinize New Economic Data

What is it? 

“The US Dollar recovered its shine on Thursday, and despite still trading within familiar levels against most of its major rivals, it currently stands near weekly highs. The Greenback got boosted by an upbeat US Gross Domestic Product report, as the Q3 GDP was upwardly revised from 2.9% to 3.2%.”**

While that data is not forward-looking, it can provide some insight into the decision-making process of the Fed and investors in the next quarter. 

Why does it matter?

“Wall Street posted substantial losses, trimming all of its weekly gains.”**

While GDP was revised upward, this did not help stock performance. That news, while positive in some regards, was met with the realization that the Fed may need to keep interest rates higher for longer. While many investors were more optimistic at the beginning of this year, it may be a while until stock benchmarks recover their losses. 

Other articles we found interesting this week:

Blackstone Tumbled in 2022; Here’s the Outlook for 2023

US Dollar demand resurges amid upbeat US growth data

Stocks waver, head toward third-straight losing week

Current 401(k) portfolio

Our last portfolio reallocation: 5/19/2022. 

Want more information?

The weekly market insight provides a window into the process we use in our investment management process. At Breakaway, we believe markets are always changing and require a nimble yet data-oriented approach. 

Our process attempts to identify trends and momentum in the financial markets. With that information, we align our clients’ portfolio accordingly in the hope to help our clients accomplish their life goals while attempting to lower the risk of a large drop in their portfolio.

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Sources:

*Alexandra Semenova. “Stocks close higher to cap final full trading week of 2022”. 12/23/2022. Yahoo Finance. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-news-live-updates-december-22-2022-124242344.html

**Valeria Bednarik. “US Dollar demand resurges amid upbeat US growth data”. 12/23/2022. FX Street. https://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-today-us-dollar-demand-resurges-amid-upbeat-us-growth-data-202212222015

IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES: 

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Craig Stahlecker

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IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES:
The information provided is intended to be educational in nature and is not intended to be a recommendation for any specific business or tax strategy, plan feature or other purposes. Accordingly, it should not be construed by any consumer and/or prospective client as solicitation of services.

Communications such as this are not impartial and are provided in connection with advertising and marketing. This material is not suggesting a specific course of action or any action at all. Prior to making any business or tax planning decisions, an individual should seek individualized advice from a personal financial, tax, legal, or business consultant professional that takes into account all of the particular facts and circumstances of an individual’s own situation. No person associated with Breakaway Financial Group LLC is a licensed attorney, and the information contained herein should not be considered legal advice.